Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.003117 0.003266 0.003417 0.003584 0.003761 0.003945 0.004150
2025-03-09 0.002851 0.003072 0.003306 0.003573 0.003870 0.004191 0.004567
2025-03-16 0.002669 0.002930 0.003215 0.003548 0.003931 0.004359 0.004876
2025-03-23 0.002511 0.002797 0.003115 0.003496 0.003944 0.004457 0.005095
2025-03-30 0.002384 0.002689 0.003033 0.003452 0.003956 0.004546 0.005297
2025-04-06 0.002301 0.002624 0.002994 0.003453 0.004015 0.004687 0.005563
2025-04-13 0.002167 0.002492 0.002869 0.003344 0.003933 0.004648 0.005598
2025-04-20 0.002107 0.002445 0.002841 0.003348 0.003986 0.004776 0.005846
2025-04-27 0.002075 0.002429 0.002851 0.003397 0.004095 0.004975 0.006194
2025-05-04 0.002007 0.002366 0.002798 0.003363 0.004097 0.005035 0.006357
2025-05-11 0.001949 0.002314 0.002757 0.003343 0.004113 0.005112 0.006544
2025-05-18 0.001895 0.002264 0.002716 0.003320 0.004124 0.005180 0.006720
2025-05-25 0.001870 0.002250 0.002720 0.003357 0.004215 0.005362 0.007067
2025-06-01 0.001825 0.002209 0.002689 0.003345 0.004240 0.005454 0.007288
2025-06-08 0.001778 0.002165 0.002651 0.003323 0.004250 0.005522 0.007477
2025-06-15 0.001723 0.002108 0.002596 0.003275 0.004221 0.005536 0.007583
2025-06-22 0.001675 0.002059 0.002548 0.003235 0.004201 0.005558 0.007702
2025-06-29 0.001645 0.002033 0.002531 0.003236 0.004238 0.005665 0.007954
2025-07-06 0.001578 0.001955 0.002443 0.003136 0.004128 0.005549 0.007853
2025-07-13 0.001553 0.001934 0.002429 0.003139 0.004166 0.005656 0.008107
2025-07-20 0.001545 0.001934 0.002445 0.003184 0.004265 0.005856 0.008522
2025-07-27 0.001509 0.001897 0.002409 0.003154 0.004252 0.005885 0.008657
2025-08-03 0.001480 0.001867 0.002381 0.003135 0.004255 0.005939 0.008835